2021 UEFA Champions League final odds, picks: Soccer model reveals best bets for Chelsea vs. Manchester City

Getty Images

Manchester City has enjoyed a wildly successful 2020-21 season, recording 47 victories and six draws in 60 matches across all competitions. But of Manchester City’s seven defeats, two have come against Premier League rival Chelsea — including one in the FA Cup semifinals last month. Manchester City looks to exact revenge when it takes on Chelsea in the 2021 UEFA Champions League final on Saturday. The Cityzens are seeking their third title of the campaign after capturing their fourth straight Carabao Cup and third Premier League crown in four years.

Kickoff from Estadio do Dragao in Porto, Portugal is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and streaming on Paramount+. The latest Manchester City vs. Chelsea odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Manchester City as the -114 money-line favorite, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Chelsea vs. Manchester City picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League final predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proprietary European soccer model.

Created by two Norwegians — professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim — the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up over $8,400.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chelsea vs. Manchester City. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several odds and trends for Manchester City vs. Chelsea:

  • Manchester City vs. Chelsea spread: Manchester City -0.5
  • Manchester City vs. Chelsea over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Manchester City vs. Chelsea money line: Manchester City -114, Chelsea +360, Draw +235
  • MC: The Cityzens have scored 76 goals in 31 Champions League games over the last three seasons
  • CHE: Striker Olivier Giroud is tied for third in the Champions League with six goals

Top predictions for Chelsea vs. Manchester City

The model is leaning under 2.5 goals in Saturday’s showdown between Manchester City and Chelsea. Each of the last two UEFA Champions League final matches have had fewer than three goals scored, and this one figures to be no different considering the defensive abilities of both sides. Manchester City has allowed a total of four goals over 12 contests in the competition and enjoyed a stretch during which it posted seven consecutive clean sheets. Chelsea has had similar success, yielding four goals in 12 Champions League fixtures, and both teams registered 2-0 victories in the second leg of their semifinal ties.

Edouard Mendy made history in Chelsea’s second-leg triumph over Real Madrid with his eighth clean sheet of the competition. The 29-year-old Frenchman moved past Manchester City’s Ederson for most shutouts by a goalkeeper on an English team in one Champions League season. Manchester City’s top scorer, Ilkay Gundogan has scored just once in his last nine games in the competition, which is one of the reasons the model is leaning toward the under in the Champions League final.

How to make Champions League picks for Manchester City vs. Chelsea

The model has also locked in a strong money-line pick as well as the exact projected final score. You can only get those picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chelsea vs. Manchester City? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Manchester City vs. Chelsea money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that’s up over $8,400.

Latest news